South Florida Sunshine



Key West, Hurricane Season, and the Oil Spill

Hurricane season is now officially at its beginning for this year.  The massive storms are a fact of life that the residents of Key West are always at the ready to deal with.  But what about the presence of so much oil in the Gulf of Mexico right now?  What will the oil spill contribute, if anything, to the damage that hurricanes are capable of causing?

As always, I still think that the best way to deal with such issues is to get yourself educated.  The worst thing we can do is give into the media hype and hit the panic button.  To reach that goal of more education, I thought I would share a little information that is available from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The following is from the NOAA Fact Sheet on Hurricanes and Oil Spills:

What will happen to a hurricane that runs through this oil slick?

Most hurricanes span an enormous area of the ocean (200-300 miles) — far wider than the current size of the spill.  If the slick remains small in comparison to a typical hurricane’s general environment and size, the anticipated impact on the hurricane would be minimal.  The oil is not expected to appreciably affect either the intensity or the track of a fully developed tropical storm or hurricane.  The oil slick would have little effect on the storm surge or near-shore wave heights.

What will the hurricane do to the oil slick in the Gulf?

The high winds and seas will mix and “weather” the oil which can help accelerate the biodegradation process.  The high winds may distribute oil over a wider area, but it is difficult to model exactly where the oil may be transported.  Movement of oil would depend greatly on the track of the hurricane.  Storms’ surges may carry oil into the coastline and inland as far as the surge reaches. Debris resulting from the hurricane may be contaminated by oil from the Deepwater Horizon incident, but also from other oil releases that may occur during the storm.  A hurricane’s winds rotate counter-clockwise.

Thus, in VERY GENERAL TERMS:
o A hurricane passing to the west of the oil slick could drive oil to the coast.
o A hurricane passing to the east of the slick could drive the oil away from the coast.
o However, the details of the evolution of the storm, the track, the wind speed, the size, the forward motion and the intensity are all unknowns at this point and may alter this general statement.

Will the oil slick help or hurt a storm from developing in the Gulf?

Evaporation from the sea surface fuels tropical storms and hurricanes. Over relatively calm water (such as for a developing tropical depression or disturbance), in theory, an oil slick could suppress evaporation if the layer is thick enough, by not allowing contact of the water to the air.   With less evaporation one might assume there would be less moisture available to fuel the hurricane and thus reduce its strength.  However, except for immediately near the source, the slick is very patchy. At moderate wind speeds, such as those found in approaching tropical storms and hurricanes, a thin layer of oil such as is the case with the current slick (except in very limited areas near the well) would likely break into pools on the surface or mix as drops in the upper layers of the ocean. (The heaviest surface slicks, however, could re-coalesce at the surface after the storm passes.)  This would allow much of the water to remain in touch with the overlying air and greatly reduce any effect the oil may have on evaporation. Therefore, the oil slick is not likely to have a significant impact on the hurricane.

Will the hurricane pull up the oil that is below the surface of the Gulf?

All of the sampling to date shows that except near the leaking well, the subsurface dispersed oil is in parts per million levels or less. The hurricane will mix the waters of the Gulf and disperse the oil even further.

Have we had experience in the past with hurricanes and oil spills?

Yes, but our experience has been primarily with oil spills that occurred because of the storm, not from an existing oil slick and an ongoing release of oil from the seafloor.  The experience from hurricanes Katrina and Rita (2005) was that oil released during the storms became very widely dispersed.  Dozens of significant spills and hundreds of smaller spills occurred from offshore facilities, shoreside facilities, vessel sinkings, etc.

Will there be oil in the rain related to a hurricane?

No. Hurricanes draw water vapor from a large area, much larger than the area covered by oil, and rain is produced in clouds circulating the hurricane.

Learn more about NOAA’s response to the BP oil spill at

http://response.restoration.noaa.gov/deepwaterhorizon.

To learn more about NOAA, visit
http://www.noaa.gov.

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Trackbacks & Pingbacks

  1. BP shows Oil Spill Live Feed as slick scale estimates questioned | www.avehot.com pingbacked on 7 years, 6 months ago

Comments

  1. Remember Katrina? (I do, I was in KW for that) It sucked fish up out of the ocean in a vortex, or water spout. Dead fish were then deposited up to 30 miles inland. People in cities along a hurricane’s path after it makes landfall are going to get a rude awakening if that happens with BP crude.

    | Reply Posted 7 years, 6 months ago
    • * Sunshine Michelle says:

      NOAA admits that they really have never seen a circumstance like this and that these are the most likely outcomes. But they are also the ones that overestimate the hurricane season each year. I swear I could make a full time job of tracking down and sharing USEFUL information on the spill.

      | Reply Posted 7 years, 6 months ago
  2. * icarolann says:

    Good blog…good info.

    | Reply Posted 7 years, 6 months ago
  3. * Greg Salopek says:

    Howdy from NM,
    So, I am traveling out to Key West for some fun and relaxation and of intense fishing and scuba diving (HOPEFULLY). I will be arriving in the area on July 18th thru 23. What does the oil spill forecast looking like for fishing and scuba??

    | Reply Posted 7 years, 5 months ago
    • * Sunshine Michelle says:

      Everything is clean and clear. You should have no problem to fish and dive. Let me know if I can put you in touch with fishing and scuba operators. I have some great friends in both areas.

      | Reply Posted 7 years, 5 months ago


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